Nearly 74 percent of retailers who reported same-store sales
results on Wednesday came in below expectations for September,
Reuters reports.
Department stores, particularly those catering to luxury shoppers
like Saks Inc., suffered the most in the month and many of the top
chains cut their earnings forecasts.
Even discounters like Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and warehouse clubs like
BJ's Wholesale Club Inc. fell short of Wall Street expectations,
though they are still expected to benefit as cash-strapped
consumers seek out their low prices.
"It's going to be a real tough holiday season, and I think that
it's prudent of them to come out and lower expectations because
nobody really knows what's going to happen in this environment,"
said John Langston, senior analyst at Hodges Fund.
Based on retailers who reported on Wednesday and estimates for
others yet to post results, Thomson Reuters said overall same-store
sales are on track to show a 1 percent rise, below its initial
forecast of an overall increase of 1.5 percent.
The specialty apparel retailers due to report later on Wednesday
and on Thursday are mostly expected to post declines in same-store
sales.
Looking ahead, October sales are expected to increase 1.5 percent
to 2.5 percent, with tough economic conditions persisting, the
International Council of Shopping Centers said.
The gloomiest forecasts have predicted that holiday sales could be
the weakest in up to 17 years.
The Standard & Poor's Retail Index was up half a percent in
afternoon trading, performing in line with the wider market.
Wal-Mart rose 1.7 percent, while Saks fell 12 percent.
A Turning Point?
For months, consumers have sought deals for staples such as food
and fuel, as they have battled higher prices, a housing market
slump, job losses and a credit crunch.
Many balked even more at spending in September as the financial
crisis deepened, with several big U.S. financial companies failing
or accepting shotgun buyouts.
"Nobody knows how much worse the economy is going to get," said
Morningstar analyst Joseph Beaulieu.
Coordinated interest rate cuts from global banks added to volatile
trading in the sector on Wednesday. Still, shares of discounters
and warehouse clubs did not suffer as much, indicating that some
investors may consider them a better bet.
"The wholesale clubs and discounters are still the safest place to
hide your money if you're an investor in this environment," said
Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman.
During the month, shoppers largely preferred discounters like
Wal-Mart and warehouse clubs such as Costco Wholesale Corp. and
BJ's for necessities like food and fuel.
Wal-Mart posted a 2.4 percent increase in September sales at stores
open at least one year. Analysts had expected a 2.5 percent
increase, according to Thomson Reuters Estimates. Its rival Target
Corp. posted a worse-than-expected decline of 3 percent in
same-store sales. Costco posted a 7 percent jump in same-store
sales while rival BJ's posted a rise of 10.4 percent. Both
companies still trailed expectations.
Department Stores Languish
Department stores continued to suffer in September, as consumers
shunned items like clothes and accessories, forcing retailers to
cut their earnings or sales forecasts.
Same-store sales at J.C. Penney Co. Inc. fell 12.4 percent, worse
than the 9.9 percent drop analysts had expected. Penney cut its
third-quarter earnings and sales forecasts.
Not even upscale stores were spared. Same-store sales fell more
than expected at Saks and Nordstrom Inc. -- 10.9 percent and 9.6
percent, respectively -- which also cut their forecasts and
signaled that economic worries were taking a toll on affluent
shoppers.






